The Future of Dubai's Real Estate Market: Trends and Forecasts

Are you looking for insights on buying or selling a property in one of the world's most dynamic & rapidly developing cities, Dubai? Then, this post is for you. It will delve into the real estate performance of 2022 and forecasts 2023 for Dubai's real estate market trends that have been setting change recently. We all know how dynamic this industry can be, so gear up for a quick yet comprehensive overview of all you need to know about Dubai real estate. Let's get started, whether you're a first-time buyer or a savvy investor!

Real Estate Performance in Dubai for 2022

In 2022, Dubai's property market set a new high, with registered sales hitting 88,028 deals as of November, up from 60,258 in 2021. It marks a 46% gain and a 38% increase over the market peak in 2013. Regarding valuation, it has topped Dhs240 billion, representing a 61% increase over 2021. The growth has been fueled by the extraordinary success of off-plan deals, which have increased by 86% since 2021.

Off-plan transaction value accounted for 44% of transactions in 2022, up from 40% in 2021 based on volume, in a market that saw a change between these two performance categories.

The Expo 2020, the UAE's Golden Visa program, and the government's efforts to encourage foreign investment were the primary drivers of the Dubai real estate market's excellent performance in 2022. 

Expo 2020 drew millions of people to Dubai, many of whom stayed after the exhibition ended. The UAE's Golden Visa program, which grants residency to investors and entrepreneurs, has also increased demand for Dubai real estate.

The government's initiatives to attract international investment, such as providing a 10-year visa for investors and establishing the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulation Authority, have also aided the real estate market's excellent performance.

The market will stay strong in 2023. Legacy projects from Expo 2020, such as the Dubai Creek Tower & the Museum of the Future, will likely generate more real estate investment and demand. The government's aims to construct new tourism and leisure sites, such as Bluewaters Island and Al Maktoum International Airport, will also enhance the real estate market.

Property Prices in 2022

The Dubai real estate market had substantial rises in real estate prices in 2022. Apartments will cost 9% higher in January 2022, while villas will cost 13% more. The average price per square meter in December for apartments was 1,168 AED, and 1,385 AED for villas.

These transactions demonstrate the resilience of potential buyers in the face of substantial increases in property prices. The limited availability of exclusive offerings contributes to the current market trend, driving demand. The golden visa program attracts wealthy investors and many foreigners seeking permanent residency or rental opportunities.

Renting out high-end properties can be profitable, as evidenced by the recent rental of a villa in Palm Jumeirah for 4,000,000 AED for six months. This villa's annual rental income surpasses other properties available for rent, with the previous record being held by a villa in Emirates Hills at 7,500,000 AED in 2021.

Affordable apartments also experienced high demand, leading to a surge in sales throughout 2022, driven by significant rent increases. The month of August witnessed peak values, with average rent prices rising by 24.9% compared to the beginning of the year.

Similar trends were observed in the luxury real estate rental market, where villa rental costs increased by 24.2%. However, there were no notable price increases in the rental industry in the year's second half.

What real estate market trends may we expect in 2023?

The real estate market is constantly changing, impacted by economic conditions, demographics, and government policy. Several new trends will affect the real estate setting as we enter 2023. Here are some crucial trends to keep an eye on:

Sustainable Growth

In recent years, sustainable building practices have become more popular. The government and developers are progressively committing to green practices, such as constructing energy-efficient buildings that use renewable energy sources and cutting-edge technological advancements. The trend is anticipated to continue, with more attention paid to eco-friendly community planning, green construction certifications, and other environmentally sound practices.

Technological Integration

By embracing cutting-edge innovations and smart technology, Dubai has become a frontrunner among cities worldwide. Integrating advanced technologies like the Internet of Things (IoT), AI, and blockchain into the real estate market is a logical extension of this focus. The widespread adoption of smart homes and smart buildings that include energy-efficient, secure, and convenient automated technologies is imminent. Furthermore, blockchain technology may simplify real estate transactions, enhancing market transparency, efficiency, and safety.

Mixed-Use & Diversified Constructions

Dubai's real estate industry is anticipated to move towards diversification and mixed-use projects to maintain long-term sustainability and resilience. Developers include retail, entertainment, hotel, and healthcare facilities, high-end apartments, and office space in their buildings. This method maximizes land use and raises property prices while fostering thriving communities that meet the varying tastes of their people.

Initiatives for Low-Cost Housing

Dubai has made progress in recent years toward meeting the city's need for more reasonably priced homes. The government has implemented many programs to deal with this problem, such as rent control, affordable housing zones, and the encouragement of public-private partnerships. These initiatives, which have already made the real estate market in Dubai more accessible to people of all income levels, are expected to continue.

Attracting Investors & Setting New Records

Diversified foreign investors, particularly those from Asia, are attracted to Dubai's property market. A residential home in 2022 sold for AED 170 million, a new record for the market. With this latest record-breaking transaction, Dubai's real estate market continues demonstrating its strength and durability. Analysts predict explosive growth in 2023 because of factors including rising demand and ongoing construction projects, a supportive economic climate, and government regulations.

Real Estate Market Forecasts for 2023

• The Dubai real estate market will continue leading global price charts in 2023

• High-end property prices are projected to rise by 6% to 7.9% this year, the highest in the world.

• Prices are expected to steadily increase in the coming years, reaching new highs by 2025.

• The rental market is forecast to grow significantly in the next few years as more people move to Dubai for work or leisure.

• Dubai will outperform Miami and Milan, where growth is expected to be approximately 4% and 6.9%, respectively.

• There is an increasing demand for commercial & residential properties in Dubai, which is projected to continue.

• This prediction is based on various factors, including population growth, economic stability, and infrastructure development.

• Investors are confident in the Dubai real estate market, and with their willingness to invest long-term, the market will undoubtedly continue to rise. 


Sustainability, innovation, diversity, and affordable housing lead Dubai's real estate market toward an exciting future. More equitable and accessible economic conditions will result from the city's investments in smart technology, mixed-use projects, and affordable housing programs. In addition, attracting investors and setting new development records predicts a highly advanced and modern future for the city. Dubai's property market will continue to be a major contributor to the city's economic growth and a symbol of its aspiration and vision for the future as it develops.

If you have any further questions or would like to talk about real estate trends in more detail, please contact Foxhills Realty, a well-known real estate agency in UAE.



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